Showing posts with label homer bailey. Show all posts
Showing posts with label homer bailey. Show all posts

Saturday, March 28, 2015

THE GREAT WHITLEY / WARREN WAR


Among this spring’s battles for roster and positional spots is a war in which the Yankees cannot lose.   That is the battle for the fifth starter’s role in the rotation.

Prior to breaking camp, our always willing to lend his opinion and do Joe Girardi’s job for him GM Brian Cashman crowned over-aged, overpaid, mediocre pitcher Chris Capuano the fifth starter.   As fate would have it, either age or a lack of proper stretching before a game landed Capuano on the DL with a strain of his right quad.  The 36-year-old who last pitched more than 150 innings in 2012 (also the last time he had an ERA under 4.20) was running to cover first base on a ground ball to the right side when he pulled up lame.

Capuano’s misfortune opened the door for more deserving pitchers to battle for the one remaining spot among the starting five.  Initially the competition would be between 27-year-old Adam Warren, 29-year-old Esmil Rogers, and 25-year-old Chase Whitley.  Rogers has slipped after an outing against the Tigers where he yielded five hits and two walks over three innings.   It was a start that manager Joe Girardi had labelled as “important” to the former Blue Jay, and one has to believe it eliminated Rogers from the running.
That leaves a win-win situation for the Yankees.  The powers-that-be already are familiar with what they have in Warren and Whitley, and it is clear that the “loser” of their competition will have a role in the bullpen as a long reliever/spot starter.  Let’s take a look at what they bring to the table and how they have fared to this point.

Adam Warren hasn’t started a regular season game since 2013, and has primarily been used in long relief for the Yankees with increasing success.  Last season he pitched 78.2 innings and had a 2.97 ERA and 1.11 WHIP (walks+hits per inning pitched).  As FANGRAPHS describes in this article about Warren, he features both a 2 and 4-seam fastball that average 94 mph and has an above average change-up.  He compliments those pitches with a curveball and a slider (cutter).  The article does some comparisons between Warren and pitchers with similar skills and concludes that he is most similar to a Zack Greinke, Homer Bailey, or Matt Cain.   

That’s some impressive company.  While he certainly can go in a completely opposite direction than the three aforementioned accomplished hurlers, the fact that he has the same type of “tools” they do offers great potential from our fifth pitching spot.  He hasn’t hurt his chances this spring either.  To date, he has pitched 16.2 spring innings and holds a 2.70 ERA and 1.08 WHIP.  He has struck out 11 and walked just one batter.   At this rate, he’ll not only win a starting spot - he’ll keep it.

Though younger than Warren, Chase Whitley has more starts in a Yankee uniform than his competitor.  When the rash of injuries began its attack upon the starting rotation last season, Whitley was one of the pitchers called into duty.  Through his first seven starts in 2014, Whitley held a 2.56 ERA and 3 – 0 record.  As is often the case with youth, inconsistency set in, and three starts later the right hander found himself relegated to the bullpen.  Whitley features three pitches: a fastball that averages around 91 mph, a slider and a change-up.  As Chad Jennings of Lohud writes in this article,  Whitley has been experimenting with adding a curve ball to his repertoire.  So far, the results have been promising.  Through 11 innings pitched in camp, Whitley has yielded just one run (0.83 ERA) and holds a 1.09 WHIP.   Where opposing batters are hitting .266 off Adam Warren, their average against Whitley is just .220.  

While it is clear who Cashman favors – he said that Warren is the “Secretariat” of the pitching corps – Joe Girardi has seemingly kept an open mind as to who will get that final starting role in the rotation.  It has been written by others in the media that the Yankees aren’t sure whether Warren’s “stuff” will translate to being a starting pitcher, yet it is hard to discount how he has looked this spring.  Likewise, even though Whitley pitched to mixed results last season, in this year’s camp he has looked nearly untouchable.  It’s a dilemma I am sure every manager wishes he had, and definitely one that Girardi welcomes. 
Once again, an injury to one of Cashman’s aging add-ons has finally opened the possibility of a deserving hurler that has made his way through the Yankees’ system to establish themselves in the Bronx.  The question is which one will it be?
Either way, the Yankees will be the better for it.  Both Whitley and Warren have upsides that make the Capuano re-signing seem ridiculous.   Both add more to the rotation – and the bullpen – than Capuano could. 

It’s one positional battle that will end in a win for the Yankees.  My own opinion is that Warren will be our fifth starter, and will stay in that role through the season.  He’s shown that he has the stuff to be a “keeper” on the staff.  Whitley’s day is coming, make no mistake about it, and given what occurred last year, it would come as no surprise if he too ends up in the rotation during the 2015 campaign.
What do you think?  Let us know!



    

--Steve Skinner, BYB Senior Writer
Twitter: @oswegos1


  
 
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Thursday, January 9, 2014

HOMER'S ODYSSEY: BAILEY BRONX BUZZ BLAZING


Trade winds have picked up more power than the Polar Vortex in New York these days. Homer Bailey is the latest nom du jour. The interwebz are ablaze with Bailey buzz. 

"We’re not trading (Homer Bailey.) We’re trying to sign him." 

That was Reds GM Walt Jocketty regarding this whole situation. But that was last month. Specifically, it was last December 11th. But much has changed in a very short amount of time.

Since then, the Yankees have turned down Cincinnati’s Brandon Phillips offer. Adding to the mix, Bailey is up for arbitration on January 14th, and the Reds are notorious for avoiding talks of this kind with players. Now, Cincinnati is considering moving salary to re-sign Bronson Arroyo. Bailey could be on the move.


The 27 year old Bailey would be far more desirable a starter than Bronson Arroyo, still languishing in the Free Agent Pool. For starters, the potential for development is much greater in Bailey. He is nine years younger than the 36 year old Arroyo, and an experienced young arm to go with Ivan Nova would fill a great need in the Yankees’ rotation.

Money-wise, Arroyo would be looking for something in the range of 2 years for $20-25 million. Bailey would be cheaper of course, and as he’s eligible for Free Agency in 2015, a good year from him would seem to be in the cards.


When it comes to their stats, Arroyo and Bailey are almost even. Bronson had an ERA of 3.79 last season, and went 14-12. Homer is comparable, with a better ERA of 3.49, his career best, and going 11-12.

Homer Bailey would appear to be the better deal from these angles. He’s younger, cheaper, due for a good year, and comparable in ability to Bronson Arroyo. Not to mention he has thrown two MLB no-hitters, one on July 2nd of last year, against the San Francisco Giants.


What this will probably cost the Bronx to get Bailey is Brett Gardner. His name was included in the failed Phillips deal, and the Reds still covet him. While this writer would prefer to hold on to Brett, the addition of Bailey would be a boon for the Yankees’ rotation. And it’s not like New York can’t spare any outfielders, after all.

For the most part, these trade rumors are just, well, rumors. But there might be some meat to this one. This site will keep an eye on things, so keep an eye on us. BYB readers are the most well informed Yankee fans for a reason.



To be continued?


--Chad R. MacDonald
BYB Features Writer
Facebook: New York Yankees the Home of Champions
My Blog: ChadRants



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